Talks on "Probability theory as an extension of logic"

Hey hey hey!

A short update from me.

Recently I gave 2 talks based on Jaynes’ book: “Probability Theory: The Logic of Science”. First talk was one hour long and you can find my slides here. Second talk was 30 minutes long, and the slides are here. I also wrote quite a lot about Jaynes’ book in my blog post “If correlation does not imply causation, what does?” previously.

Good day everyone!



            Probability theory as an extension of logic

In many problems we don’t have enough information at hand to permit deductive reasoning. In this talk, I will introduce the idea of plausibility reasoning which focuses on processing incomplete information optimally. I will discuss how any system of plausibility reasoning that satisfies certain commonsense requirements is isomorphic to probability theory. I will examine the requirements carefully and then relate such interpretation of probability to other well-established approaches. Finally, I will look at a wide variety of applications, which include: Thermodynamics (why heat travels from hot to cold objects?), Statistics and also… everyday situations!